Tag Archives: Economy

PART TWO – RUNNING IN CIRCLES – ANSWERS

I KNOW!!! What I wrote in Part One was personal, and shocking for that reason. Yes, but, this issue needs exploring to put it in a healthy perspective. It may be an almost exclusive WHITE MIDDLE CLASS issue – I don’t know for sure, and I certainly do not mean to leave anyone out of this group of Boomers due to my ignorance. First, for clarity: What you may, or may not, have perceived from Part One of my commentary is that I am very proud of my son, his soul-mate wife, and my grandchildren. How could he be my son and not be independent, immediately and passionately (inside his domain / home) family oriented, and successful at whatever he chooses to endeavor. When I do see him, he is very forthcoming with apology for his busy life, and never forgets to tell me he loves me. On many occasions over the years he has sincerely rewarded me with praise. I have a file full of Birthday, Mother’s Day, and Christmas Cards that say wonderful things – not just about his opinion of me – but also, about he and I. Over the last 5 years many people have contacted me privately to tell me their woes that almost mirror mine identically regarding our mostly absent Generation X children (Gen X). I believe I know of several reasons that work in conjunction with each other to have left us with the outcomes we are experiencing. We are a significant number of the Baby Boom Generation (Boomers) who are experiencing the loss of immediate and close relationship with our Gen X children.

1)   An easy one: Boomer’s Parents, and our schools were strict. When Boomers were children, we – who mostly spoke when we were spoken to – made up our minds that we would discipline our children in kinder ways, and listen to what our children had to say. OH boy!!! Speaking for me, I was an idiot. Before the last 20 years with John, I was for all practical purposes a single parent (even when previously married to another child to raise). What my children knew about manipulating me with guilt, even when they were five years old, would have shocked me if I had understood it at that time.

These Gen X children who voiced their opinions on everything under the sun have decided that the candy-xxx discipline we doled out was excessive. Right. Taking my son’s phone out of his bedroom until he brought his grades up, each and every time, caused my son to opine of how truly cruel I was. Well, always, within a week he would bring me notes from all teachers who would relay to me that his work was all turned in and his grade back up to an A or a B – depending on the subject. Discipline works.

One of the chief reasons these Gen Xers avoid us is their embarrassment when their children behave like undisciplined savages. Two minute time outs do zero to discipline children. When one of his children behaves in such manner around John and me, I can see the pure frustration and embarrassment in my son’s eyes and his body language. He knows I can read his signs, and that just compounds the whirlwind of feelings in the room. I can totally understand that his life is easier if the evidence of failed modern acceptable discipline results are not seen by me. When I explain how my young son was the happiest when his boundaries and known consequences were enforced, I also seem to lose any possible bond with my daughter-in-love.

2)   Gen X children are too busy to include their parents in their lives. Fair enough. But, we must ask why do they schedule themselves and their children 24/7/365 days a year? I don’t have a lot of answers here, but do know that their lives are so full of scheduled events, I worry that they have enough time with each other – much less time with John and I.

I remember watching my son being crushed under homework every night and most of his weekends when I made the decision to pull him out of the “gifted and talented” curriculum at school. I believe children need to be children, and that means they should let their imaginations run wild playing outside with other children. My children never met strangers, so they were really good at socializing. If you want to hear laughter in and around your home, you must let your children play outside until they smell like wet puppies.

It seems like our grandchildren’s playmates and best friends are their parents who take them to play dates, and birthday parties’ non-stop all year. On top of that they are taken to dance lessons, acrobatic lessons, piano lessons, and other kinds of lessons. When do these kids get to be in frequent free play outside developing not only social skills, but practical thinking on your feet skills?

3} Below are descriptions, an expert has given to the Boomers, and Gen X which most of our children were born into. I think it gives us some insight into the phenomenon of our children loving us from a distance.
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“BOOMERS Born 1946 – 1964

An amalgam of two distinct sub-sets:  the save-the-world revolutionaries of the ‘60s, followed by the self-improvement party’ers of the late ‘70s and early ‘80s.  Career-driven.  The Golden Generation in the American workplace.  Assertive.  Leaders.  Ethical.  Demanding.  Struggled with marriage and parenting.  America will now be a Boomer-led nation into the 2030’s.  This generation will never fully retire, and this is about to change America’s workplace, marketplace, and lifestyle profoundly.

GEN-X Born 1965 – 1981 – [My children were born 1973, and 1979.]

The latch-key kids grew up street-smart but isolated, often with divorced or time-starved dual-career parents.  Entrepreneurial.  Independent.  Creative.  Career “free agents”.  Feel disempowered and disengaged.  Eager to make marriage work and “be there” for their children.  Starting to chalk up some victories in life.  X’ers are rising.  They’ll lead America in the 2030’s and 2040’s.  They will give our nation excellent “idea leadership” but will need training to become good “people leaders”.

“FIRST-WAVE MILLENNIALS Born:  1982 – 1996 (and still coming!)” You can go find this group if you are interested. They are our grandchildren, and some late Boomer children – but, not the Boomer children we are thinking about in this commentary.

© 2009 The Generational Imperative, Inc. All rights reserved.

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The first thing I noticed is that the “expert” wrote something negative about the Gen X childhood because of their parents, and nothing about Boomer parents. I could write a book on how dysfunctional most Boomer homes were. If they were not actually divorcing, they were constantly threatening to. What sticks out most for me, is that because Boomer parents experienced the Depression as children, and WWII in their teen and young adult lives, they often lived through us – and even forcing us to be whom they wished they could have been as teens and young adults. It is hard to measure up to someone else’s dream. But, I digress . . . we are trying to understand why so many Gen X children have little time for their Boomer parents.

I believe that many Gen Xers hold some kind of a dual loving admiration and jealousy of who we Boomers were, and the world we lived in . . . let us look again at pieces of the Boomer description:

“Career-driven”

We Boomers were “fast trackers” – “movers and shakers” – well read – over educated – self-educated – an amazing society of engaged and successful people. We lived the American dream. White and Blue collar workers came together to achieve the most amazing advances in every industry on the planet. We enjoyed the last decades of true Capitalism, which made the Middle Class grow by leaps and bounds. If this was not Gen X parents, they felt like they were cheated. If it was their parents, they also felt cheated because we worked 55 hour work weeks to get ahead. At the time, we were determined to give our kids any advantage possible to insure their futures were as bright, or brighter than ours.

Somehow, many Gen Xers did not appreciate the link between the Middle Class lifestyle they enjoyed, and how hard we Boomers worked. It also seems probable that when Gen Xers size up todays often negative atmosphere for similar levels of endeavor, they have given up without showing true American Culture at its best, by peacefully fighting back to make the ultimate checks and balances of our government work, and answerable to We The People.

Many Boomers realized that the link between home, food, clothes, schools, entertainment, and the massive man/hours we worked to achieve the best we were capable of providing, was not translating to the values our children should have received by the process. Like many, determined to make them understand, I sent my Gen X teenagers out into the world to earn money after school, and summers.

I remember the first week my teen son worked on a concrete crew; a job I had attained for him. He railed against me for two weeks; claiming I was trying to kill him via jackhammer death in the crouched position to make holes in concrete for rebar. At the end of his second week, he received his first paycheck – and Katie Bar the Door!!!!!! This is undoubtedly the planted seed of why he works so hard and owns his own business. (I really need a smiley face here!) At the end of that summer he wanted to keep working and earning money, and screw school. Not a chance my genius son would be allowed to drop out!

My son received that job because of my connections. Jobs for teenagers in America was a part of our heritage. Due to open borders, the summer and after school jobs that should have been there for our teenaged Gen Xers, to build their young character on, went to adult illegal aliens. When they graduated and entered the workforce, not only did many have no experience to put on their resumes, but the national economic failures left few jobs for them to have. Even those who attained degrees were working for a fraction of what they dreamed, for so long, they would be earning.

Gen Xers by the thousands compared their lives to their parents, and it became easier to disconnect from us than to feel they had failed to keep their place among the Middle Class they were raised in.

Here is where Boomers can visualize good reason for resentment: The day of honorable Capitalism is gone. What our Gen Xers are experiencing is a government hostile to the small and medium business. Endless laws & regulations steal the fruits of their labor. Laws like Obamacare are designed to put a burden on the small and medium business that it cannot bear. What our Gen Xers are dealing with is CRONY Capitalism, whereby large international corporations and our own out of control government are in cahoots to destroy the Middle Class.

Giving away our Gen Xers industries, jobs, and tax dollars to illegal immigrants, and our enemies in foreign countries has done nothing to bring up the standards of any other country, and sold out our American Culture and Heritage. We Boomers understand that the Gen Xers blame us. What the Gen Xers do not understand is that until the last two decades, the deceptions of our government, the undermining of our schools, and the trashing of our economy was done covertly. The last two decades are on both the Boomer and the Gen Xers for allowing it to happen. Sadly, our Gen X children do not have the necessary tools to do a peaceful economic and government re-set . . . they scarcely understand what our American heritage / culture is, therefore they blame their Boomer parents for their “bad luck.”
4)  Major differences in the Boomers and our Gen X children which has caused division over time:

–     Fear. Boomers experienced some levels of fear in their young lives regarding assassinations of leaders, Cuban Missile Crisis, the Cold War, and Vietnam. This pales in comparison to a long list of major events our Gen X children have experienced in their young lives moving forward to the present day: being desensitized by the sex and violence on the big and little screen, 9/11, crazy dictators obtaining Nukes, the roller coaster economy, EMP threats, trying to determine why there is government insistence on a debunked Global Warming – and all the business smothering regulations created because of it, terrorist threats including biological warfare, never ending wars and rumors of wars, explosive economy with constant threats of a dollar collapse.

–     Faith. Boomers were raised in an atmosphere of Christian principles and values, and a strong family unit. Even if Boomers were not actively attending church, or even Christian, society’s principles and values was the choice of America. 93% of Americans were Christian when I graduated high school in 1970. Of course there were criminals, because we are flawed humans. Most Christians in the 60’s considered themselves “born again,” gospel believing, Christians who were positively changed on the day they accepted the Lord into their lives.

The Christianity of today must largely be the apostate kind with weak principles and values, because we have millions of secularists telling us that evil or bad is just as valid for living as those principles and values that I have carried with me from my childhood forward. Today 78% of Americans are “Christians.” They do not like the crime levels, and ignored American Christian principles and values any more than I do, but they are willing to say your god and my God are the same god, and “whatever” when you try to tie them down on living in a Christian America. Just one quick example, in a sea of examples we could live by . . . we would have to throw out 95% of our television and movie content to bring our lives in line with Christian principles and values.

Due to my upbringing, Boomers expected to be instrumental in our children having a better life than we did. Due to my son’s upbringing, he expects to be instrumental in his children having a better life.
In the long run, and looking at the rule, and not the exception, our expectations will not be met, and more so for my dear grandchildren.

I do not have all of the answers as to why so many of our Gen Xers have distanced themselves from parents they love and respect. The several reasons above are part of the phenomenon. I have read that America has twice turned around inside of six months back to the Lord, and Christian principles and values. Is it possible for this to happen when so many are just making it through each day the best they can, and isolating those from their lives that may be able to help them more spiritually than the apostate church / secular church that is sweeping up our Gen Xers – if they even bother with church at all.

Many, many Boomers have abandoned our churches, recognizing them for the changed entities they are in the process of becoming. THE CHURCH IS THE BODY OF CHRIST. There should never have been division, upon division, upon division of The Christian Church. Along with these divisions – departing from our foundational Christian teachings for man-made denominational religions – departing from the worship in Jewish homes in the early church for man-made cathedrals and statues with so much money it could have fed the world over and over for decades.

My Mother’s Day card from my son, “Mom, I’ve been thinking of all the great memories from being your son! Thank you for all the fun and love I experienced through my life because of you!!” This doesn’t sound like a Gen X son who neglects his relationship with his mother. It is like my Gen Xer is away at some insane camp that Boomers are not allowed into. They know what we would say and do. The “wisdom of grandparents” is not something these Gen Xers are willing to allow into their lives, and their children’s lives. It would not be convenient to the image they have of themselves, when we are near and dear.

As I stated in Part One, I am always open to any ideas you have for solving this heart wrenching problem. How do we bring our Gen Xers back into our lives, and the whole country back to the Lord? It is true that all of the above is almost mind numbing when you consider it all together, but each issue needs to be reconciled before there is unity in our families. There is so much division in our land that is described as political, racial, ethical, etc. etc. etc. I know that our willingness to live with these political issues, without calling the leaders out for lying about every division they have caused, has left the nation in sad repair. Perhaps if we could solve the divisions between generations first, we could then tackle the rest of it together.

Copyright © 2015 by Juanita Holloway-Walters

All Rights Reserved

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THE CRAP HITS THE FAN (That is as clean as I can say it. As my Grandgirls say for everything they deliberately do wrong “sorryeeeeee” like it is a magic pass to do anything wrong you will do.)

THE CRAP HITS THE FAN – MY NOTES BEFORE A REALLY GOOD ARTICLE (That is as clean as I can say it. As my Grandgirls say for everything they deliberately do wrong “sorryeeeeee” like it is a magic pass to do anything wrong you will do.)

At the end of my following personal NOTES is a link to a very important article. If you do not understand what is being said in this article – you need to seek the knowledge you need to understand every word. If you think America is healing economically – you very much need to seek the knowledge you need to understand the article by Jim Willie CB. We all should have stopped the un-American practices in America a long time ago. See my last commentary We Are Enabling the Evil Ones for further explanation of why it is our American citizen problem on both sides.

“The Emperor Has No Clothes” and the whole world knows it, except for too many American citizens.

I have told the story often of the business I was hired to clean up operations and finance, turning company back into the black (for which was my forte – pre-retirement). The owner blocked most of the healthy policies I would implement – always saying that we would get to those later when the money flow was better. BUAHAHAHAHAHAHA The owner and I argued for 3 years (do NOT CONTRACT YOURSELF TO WORK FOR A FRIEND!) . . . he believed, based on crap he learned in college – you could sell at a loss long term to infinity if the volume was high. AARRGH – I argued with actual data that scenario always pays its bills late, misses a payroll date here and there (thus attracting low grade employees over time), doesn’t pay its taxes when due and allows insurance policies to lapse (thus attracting auditors of all ilk), and when there is any lull in revenue – IT HITS THE FREAKIN WALL!!!! (unless the IRS and/or the State intervene sooner – and IT HITS THE FREAKIN WALL WITH MASSIVE PENALTY AND INTEREST based on their calculations and worksheets because you didn’t bother to file to give them your actual numbers? AND did not maintain good records to dispute the audits — Rest assured they will make your worksheets for you that will show you owe the maximum guess of what the numbers should be – but in their favor – every time. It is also important to note: You cannot rob your own incorporated business to your constant personal gain, and not pay taxes after repeated threats from the taxing agencies whom are owed the money. You spent what they believe is THEIR MONEY and they will seize ALL ASSETS first and figure out if they took too many assets for what you owed MUCH LATER. As they say – you are screwed fully dressed with no drink before and no cigarette afterwards!)

This business owner so reminds me of other schemes such as global warming, and the players are very bad and playing on both of these teams (and many more teams for the dark side – like the banking team in this article).

JUANITA’S PREDICTION: Either our economy will HIT THE WALL, or THE WALL WILL BE LOWERED SLOWLY AND IF YOU ARE BOILED SLOWLY PERHAPS YOU WILL NOT NOTICE YOU ARE BEING COOKED. AND BEING COOKED MEANS YOU HIT THE WALL IN SLOW MOTION. J

For those not familiar with the acronyms:

ZIRP = Zero Interest-Rate Policy (or Zero Interest-Rest in Peace).

QE = Quantitative-Easing (or Queerly Easy – fictitious money is as easy as hitting the zero number on the keypad repeatedly placing zeros to the left of the decimal thereby creating massive money out of nothing – nothing of asset quality to back it up.)

Hmmmmm “USFED INSOLVENCY SCRUTINIZED” to this I say: Note of interest on the USFED – the “capital” they “hold in reserve” is you and I and the labor we provide – taxing us do death – and putting future generations in debt today. These insane evil people think they own us as chattel – – – CAPITAL.

Everybody pointed their finger at me and laughed a year to two years ago when I called the Gold thing a “Gold Bubble.” I stand firm on that statement – the price of food keeps rising, as well as fuel – and Gold is finally useless when you try to eat it or feed it to your lovely and sweet children.

When we unhinged the US from the “Gold System” and the world shrieked that we couldn’t do that, we made a deal —– The Powers That Run America (Evil) promised the other Powers that America would pass laws and restrictions with regulations that would kill American industry and those industries and jobs could be created in other countries around the world – we would get the “Petro Dollar” (all oil deals and therefore other deals too would be done in US Dollars – thus making it necessary for all nations to hold American dollars in their banks) . . . . . HOW STUPID OF AMERICA – now we have lost our industries and jobs to other nations who make cheap products we buy – AND OUR ENEMIES WITHIN HAVE NOW ALSO RUINED THE PETRO DOLLAR (American Dollar). WE LOSE ALL THE WAY AROUND . . .

Except the “Sleeping Giant” of the American People have not spoken yet . . . Please read my last commentary We Are Enabling the Evil Ones, wake up, and help wake up the “Sleeping Giant of the Wonderful American People” TODAY . . .

HERE IS THE LINK TO THE IMPORTANT ARTICLE: http://www.silverdoctors.com/jim-willie-flash-trading-hits-ustreasury-bonds/#more-32402

Oh HELL – I am afraid it will disappear as so many do . . . so here it is to read:
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JIM WILLIE: FLASH TRADING HITS USTREASURY BONDS

SEPTEMBER 27, 2013

The USTreasury Bond market breakdown is in progress, all part of the general USDollar global rejection that is taking the world by storm.

The USFed, the USGovt, and the Big US Banks urgently needed to stop the move in the 10-year bond yield (aka TNX). They needed to prevent a move above 3.0% on the USTreasury yield. They needed to avoid a calamity with both Interest Rate Swaps and USTBond carry trade reversals. They needed to avoid a trigger of sell stops. They needed to prevent the rest of the world selling off USTBonds within their reserves management systems, the foundation of their national banking systems. So the USFed and Big US Banks called upon themselves to place artificial high bids on USTBonds sold among themselves in a circle jerk of Flash Trading. They pushed the TNX below 2.9% quickly in the corrupt process. USFed Chairman Bernanke then backed off the Taper Talk threat, and the USTBonds rushed in a pathetic rally. The Jackass forecasted his retreat exactly, a bluff after a failed trial balloon. The bankers then resorted to the hidden work of computer algorithms. They altered the constructive dynamics of the bond market. They corrupted it one deeper level. The Flash Trade defense is pathetic, and will be revealed in coming weeks.
The bond market has converted into a Flash Trading arena within the bank syndicate to maintain bond prices. This is an explosive development, indicative of unsustainable sovereign bond prices kept up by round robin marked by internal sales within the Federal Reserve banks themselves.

The USTBond market is broken, and the USDollar cannot be defended.

The USTreasury Bond market breakdown is in progress, all part of the general USDollar global rejection that is taking the world by storm.Of course, residents inside the US Dome do not notice, since they only perceive it as the native currency. From conversations with common folk, discussions with investor types, and general observations for over 20 years, the Jackass belief is that only 5% to 10% of Americans are aware that the USDollar serves as a global financial instrument in contracts, the basis for trade settlement (mostly crude oil), with some extremely important consequences. A major development has begun, much like a metabolic life support system in concert with the Interest Rate Swap derivative contract. For two years or more, the USTreasury Bond market has been deeply dependent upon artificial demand derived from the derivatives. Entire bond rallies have been fabricated with 50:1 leverage, fully supported by the financial network propaganda. Without derivative flying buttress support, the giant USTBond Tower would have collapsed a couple of years ago. Now a new support system has been begun, a dangerous musical chairs long entrenched in the stock market. It has entered the bond market finally. Flash Trading!!

The USFed, the USGovt, and the Big US Banks urgently needed to stop the move in the 10-year bond yield (aka TNX). They needed to prevent a move above 3.0% on the USTreasury yield. They needed to avoid a calamity with both Interest Rate Swaps and USTBond carry trade reversals. They needed to avoid a trigger of sell stops. They needed to prevent the rest of the world selling off USTBonds within their reserves management systems, the foundation of their national banking systems. So the USFed and Big US Banks called upon themselves to place artificial high bids on USTBonds sold among themselves in a circle jerk of Flash Trading. They pushed the TNX below 2.9% quickly in the corrupt process. USFed Chairman Bernanke then backed off the Taper Talk threat, and the USTBonds rushed in a pathetic rally. The Jackass forecasted his retreat exactly, a bluff after a failed trial balloon. The bankers then resorted to the hidden work of computer algorithms. They altered the constructive dynamics of the bond market. They corrupted it one deeper level. The Flash Trade defense is pathetic, and will be revealed in coming weeks. The United States is in the process of being isolated on numerous fronts, as its monetary policy has merged with its military policy, both having merged long ago with its banking policy.

SICKNESS SEEN IN ONE POWERFUL GRAPH

As preface, consider a highly telling graph. No graph better demonstrates the failure of the last five years in monetary policy, and absent USEconomic recovery. The falling Money Velocity means the system is collapsing gradually. The infusion of phony new money is not addressing the key fundamental problem, insolvency of banks, businesses, households, and the USGovt. Putting a $20 bill in the hand of a manager of a broken business does not remove the insolvent condition. It only enables the manager to pay a part-time worker another few hours. The clueless cast of corrupt economists cannot notice, nor admit, that the QE & ZIRP monetary policy (hammer & cycle) is destroying capital by raising the cost structure. The capital destruction comes from businesses losing their profit margin, shutting down a business or business segment, cutting jobs, and putting equipment in mothballs or liquidating it. This is the biggest blind spot to economic policy. Obviously, the economists serve the syndicate, which benefits from toxic bond redemption with free money. The USFed is not engaged in a stuck stimulus, but rather a stuck destruction. The hammer & cycle are symbols of communist Politburo, no difference in contrast to the planned financial structure in the Untied States. [Please open the article link to see the graph, I don’t know how to get the picture pasted here where it actually sticks. Sorryeeeeeeeee. LOL]

HIDDEN PANIC AT THE USFED

A recent event has occurred, which was brought to the table by an unexpected corner, but a reliable source, who has a banker friend. The bond market has converted into a Flash Trading arena within the bank syndicate to maintain bond prices. This is an explosive development, indicative of unsustainable sovereign bond prices kept up by round robin marked by internal sales within the Federal Reserve banks themselves. Worse, speculation is about to rise that the USFed as a financial firm is suddenly subject to capital rules, with inherent risk of failure. It has stacked up over $3 trillion in impaired assets, much of which are truly toxic. The Taper Talk at the USFed was a ghastly disaster, with financial feces flung in the central bank’s faces. The big new engine that will work to fracture the USFed itself is the reversal of the Big US Bank carry trade in USTBonds. Recall all their boasting about replenishing balance sheets with easy leveraged profits, spouted like junkie morons in 2011 and 2012. It has now backfired to force flatulence into the banker faces in addition to the flung feces. Of course, the financial networks report none of this. The unwind of bond carry trade is a basic phenomenon that any worthwhile bond analyst can observe and anticipate. It is the flip side to easy money gains, namely massive losses.

Two weeks ago, an extraordinary memo was received from a trusted colleague. It could be important in yet unknown ways. The USTBond market is broken, and the USDollar cannot be defended. The memo read as follows. “I spoke with an old banking friend of mine on Saturday who now works as an Executive Officer in the Regulatory Division of the Dallas Federal Reserve. The gist of the conversation was this. There was a panic teleconference among all of the Regional Federal Reserve banks on Thursday afternoon [Sept 5th]. The subject of this emergency teleconference was USTreasury Yields. The perilously low capital of the Federal Reserve was at issue in this meeting, and the fact that they could no longer afford to defend the USDollar at this point. All of the regional Federal Reserve Banks were ordered to unload as many USTreasurys and Mortgage Backed Securities as they could, even though they are selling at a loss, to provide immediate liquidity even at the expense of capital! Eventually, late Friday night a tranche of Treasurys was sold above market price to several Federal Reserve Member banks in order to drive down the yield! You can plainly see this sale on the 10-year USTreasury chart.” Big news! Panic setting in! Unsustainable bond arena! Flash Trading has hit bonds!

More important, WE HAVE NOW SEEN THE BEGINNING OF FLASH TRADING ON USTREASURY BONDS!! A grand round robin closed circle selling program will be relied upon in desperation to maintain price, just like with NYSE stocks in Algorithm Trading. The internal trading volume will grow and dominate the system, just like with the stock market where 80% of NYSE volume is from the perverse Algo Trading. No computer based trading like with Algo Trading is regulated, as the computers run wild. The dangerous times and the instability of bond markets will become major spectacles and news items. The risk will be transferred to stocks, which rise in value from more QE volume flowing into asset purchases, but which fall in value from creeping bond yields. Great instability will be a regular fixture in the US Stock market, and possibly many other national bourses around the world. The next several months will see some important bond market events and likely outsized derivative losses, complete with revelation of USTBond market rigging devices.

REVERSE OF USTBOND CARRY TRADE

Make several conclusions right away. Panic has finally hit the USFed. They cannot defend either the USDollar or its obverse USTBonds, the trading vehicle. They are both at improper high valuations. Rising interest rates will next cause more sales, the dreaded convexity to come into play. The big US banks must unwind their leveraged USTBond carry trade, based upon the bond futures contracts. Watch big US banks sell their leveraged positions that in the past three years provided them supposedly easy profits. The positions are locked in high leveraged structures. The breakdown of the USTBonds and USDollar has begun, a long process having come full circle after the highly destructive ZIRP & QE, both engrained in monetary policy.

The breakdown in the currency and sovereign bond will be aggravated by Interest Rate Derivative dismemberment and colossal losses. The USTB & USD duo breakdown is the visual impact and reaction to the gradual geopolitical isolation of the United States. It was seen in a glaring glimpse with Syria, a call to war, a refusal, and the US looking like a deceptive player with blood lust. The world is reacting to misguided monetary policy maintained by the USFed that supports the Western banks (in toxic bond redemption) but causes nasty problems across the world (in higher food prices). As the USFed and its devoted big US banks conduct bond trading among themselves, the left hand selling to the right hand, it becomes more evident that the USTBond asset bubble is being revealed. The irony is that the aggravating factor is the big US banks unwinding their bond carry trade. Their leveraged sales will result in over-shoots in the bond yield, called Convexity in the trade. Beware of Convexity, and its destructive impact!

USFED INSOLVENCY SCRUTINIZED

Normally the USFed has avoided the need for capital, in justification of its own solvency. It has not been subject to financial requirements, since not an operating financial firm. It is instead a financial fortress standing as headquarters to coordinate bank activity within a vast crime syndicate. Back in 2009, the USFed broke from tradition, by offering a small interest yield for big US bank excess reserves. Doing so raised many questions. The Jackass concluded soon afterwards that the USFed was insolvent, and desired the assets from big nearby banks to disguise and obscure its insolvency. Capital is of concern only when a liquidity crunch is anticipated. Therefore, the USFed appears very worried about a liquidity threat, perhaps from vast demands of USTreasury Bond redemption, perhaps from a breakdown of its own Primary Bond Dealer team.

The game must have changed recently and suddenly. One must speculate that perhaps the USFed balance sheet might eventually be wound down, causing some deep damage. The USFed might suddenly be scrutinized as a financial firm, where it is suddenly subjected to capital rules with risk of failure. Conclude that the USFed received a phone call from a higher power like Basel. As footnote, bear in mind that the public has long maintained an incorrect perception that that the USFed can defend itself from insolvency by padding its balance sheets with assets. This is not correct. This belief of infinite creation of electronic wealth to ward off deep insolvency is a baseless myth. They can add assets with equally offsetting debts, net zero. The USFed is going down the tubes into the sewer, next door to Fannie Mae.

USA CONFRONTS HOT MONEY RISK

The USFed is trapped. It has two lousy alternatives, to continue bond purchases within Quantitative Easing or to taper the QE bond monetization volume. Both result in total wreckage and systemic failure. Continuation is a slow death. Tapering is a quick death. They will choose the slow death, and deny the capital destruction effects all the way to an economic depression. Back in 2009, the Jackass was loud and vocal about the USFed being stuck with no Exit Strategy. At that time, they were trying to extricate themselves from the ZIRP corner, the zero bound interest rate. My forecast was for its continuation almost forever, since damage to the USEconomy would otherwise be quick, and rising borrowing costs to the USGovt debt burden would be intolerable.

The point was also made that the longer ZIRP is in place, the more likely it would remain as permanent, since a huge amount of bond purchases were being made, all to suffer big losses in a backup of rates. Worse, continued ZIRP would affect asset prices, which they could not afford to undergo a correction. In 2011, the USFed began the QE initiatives marked by bond monetization. The QE program itself was a correct Jackass forecast, denied openly by the USFed for months. The point was made that buyers of USTBond issuance would vanish, and the teetering USEconomy would not generate indigenous wealth to save in USTBonds. In 2012, the Jackass was loud and vocal about the USFed being stuck with no Exit Strategy from that destructive disastrous monetary policy again, as in ZIRP Forever and QE to Infinity. Both forecasts are being seen to come true. The FOMC meetings and recent Bernanke speech highlight their plight, no options, no exit, no relief, stuck with destructive monetary policy which cannot be halted or even reduced. In fact, QE to Infinity will be ramped up, with double the volume of USTBond purchases in the next several months. The foreign nations will diversify out of their USTBonds held in reserve, and foreign corporations will dump outright USTBonds, in what will become the grandest vote of no confidence toward US-UK bankers in modern history. The USFed must sop up the supply. The alternatives are truly horrendous.

TWO HORRIBLE CHOICES FOR USFED

PLAN A: BEING IMPLEMENTED: The USFed can continue QE and its heavy volume bond monetization. Doing so will sustain the rise in the cost structures, including food prices. As a result, the national economies suffer capital destruction, a direct (but unrecognized) consequence of shrinking profit margins and shrinking disposable household income. The mainstream news and bank leadership insists on calling it stimulus, when it is the exact opposite. It is the most powerful force to destroy capital in modern world history. The fierce recessions are assured to continue, the incomes fall, store liquidations to persist, systemic failure assured. The United States eventually will be faced with hot money exits in a very unique new development. The United States will be eventually shunned and the USDollar rejected, as global alternative to the US$-based trade will develop until a formal launch next year in 2014. However, the US will continue its usual path of creating (boogeymen) enemies, creating new wars, blasting the propaganda networks, but deny being the cause of the broad wreckage. The destruction of the US system will not come from fast rising rates, but instead from accelerating capital destruction, job cuts, recession identified as depression. In this Plan A scenario being adopted and embraced, the USFed will be compelled to amplify its QE bond buying volume, to lie about it, but it will be caught in the lies. The United States and the USFed will be blamed for the climax of collapses, which will occur gradually. The United States will rapidly be shunned, the USDollar rejected, and the US declared a global pariah.

PLAN B: TESTED WITH TAPER TALK TESTED, NOT TO BE DONE: The USFed could taper QE and reduce sharply the bond monetization. The results would be felt very quickly and suddenly, like what was seen in July and August. It was painful and shocking, but revealed the deep dependence upon the USFed easy money spigot, from the financial market perspective (quickly) and the economic perspective (more slowly). The financial markets would suffer incredible declines bordering on historical events like a sequence of Black Mondays (1987) and post-Lehman crashes (2008). The surprising direct effect from a strong tapering of QE would be something never seen before in the United States history. It would cause very well publicized hot money moves out of the US financial market in addition to the emerging markets. The global tightening would make for a global catastrophe. The investors in USTreasury Bonds would rapidly vacate the arena, since bond yields would rise quickly, putting strain on the interest rate derivative control levers to the point that the rate swaps could not prevent the rates from going up out of control. The big US banks would unwind their leveraged USTBond carry trade, and suffer outsized losses. The rapid rise in rates would deliver a well recognized death blow to corporate paper flow, the US housing market, the US car market, and put an end to student loans. The national USEconomy would suffer from higher interest rates, the fierce recession continue. A systemic failure would result within 12 to 18 months. The United States and the USFed would be blamed for the climax of collapses, which would occur rapidly. The United States would rapidly be shunned, the USDollar rejected, and the US declared a global pariah. Same outcome, faster pace.

The USFed is desperately trying to balance two horrible destructive options. The look of frustration and defeat is apparent on outgoing Chairman Bernanke’s face in press conferences. He realizes finally that his Doctoral Thesis is disproved by experiment, by his own hand at the USFed control panel. Yet the bankers must appear to be in control. They must defend the USDollar and USTBond, along with major paper currencies. They must defend the franchise central bank system. They must buy time to escape with their lives before they are forced to vanish, either willingly or by order.

GOLDEN PILLARS

Many are the pillars that support the current USTBond & USDollar phony fractured folly. In the Jackass view, The USTreasury Bond aint a market, but rather an empty room filled with market rigging machinery. It is an asset bubble. Tragically and inexorably, once an asset bubble is pricked, it cannot be held together. The prick event occurred with the Taper Talk, a highly misguided action taken. Perhaps the Basel masters wish to see the system collapse and banker fascist states honored openly. However, as the pillars fall, the Gold Price will rise like a phoenix and offer a breath-taking event to behold. The pillars are all breaking down, which will release the Gold Price. New pillars are being erected in support of the Gold Price. They mark tremendous changes, as in Paradigm Shift in the global structure of commerce and finance

1) USTreasury Bond Tower of Babel is breaking. The interest rate derivatives have offered the USTBond asset bubble hidden illicit deceptive support for over two years. Morgan Stanley is the chief agent for its application. The London Whale event (complete with greatly falsified losses) emerged in May 2012 as a result on such derivative losses, not the sovereign bond losses as JPMorguen liars reported. The losses are not $8 billion, but rather $100 billion. If the London Whale losses occurred after a mere 60 basis point rise leading to the May event, then imagine the derivative losses suffered from a 130 basis point rise from 1.65% in May 2013 to 2.9% in early September 2013. The Flash Trading practice is a last ditch to defend the USTBond & USD twin towers in South Manhattan. History repeats, transformed from physical towers to financial towers, but without the false flags waving atop the crumbling towers.

2) The Petro-Dollar defacto standard is breaking. Since the late 1970 decade, this standard has been at work. The Arab oil producing nations, led by the Saudis, have sold crude oil in US$ transactions, then cooperated in recycling the vast surpluses in USTreasury Bonds, with a fair amount in big US bank stocks as well. The OPEC cartel is showing signs of fracture, slowly disbanding amidst regularly spouted lies from the flairs of member nation mouths. The new dynamic is powerful and disruptive, the natural gas pipelines. The Syrian conflict is all about the natgas pipelines, with smokescreens created in the usual way. Watch Gazprom lead a consortium of NatGas Coop members, flex its muscles, and eclipse OPEC to the point of obsolescence. The irrelevance of OPEC will usher in the rejection of the Petro-Dollar, and threaten the House of Saud (where regime change is nigh). The other victim will be the USTreasury Bond, with accelerated sales from Persian Gulf abandonment.

3) USTreasury Bond diversification & rejection. Many are the channels of USTBonds returned to sender from emerging market nations and elsewhere. The USFed monetary policy has motivated many nations to diversify out of the very USTBonds being purchased with printed money in phoney baloney manner, due to perceived debasement, deeply resented. The Westerners call it euphemistically Quantitative Easing, but the Jackass prefers to call it hyper monetary inflation off the printing press with a Weimar nameplate. Entire national banking reserves management systems are in the process of undergoing change. Much USTBond sale volume will be returned from Indirect Exchange, in the payment for large asset acquisitions (like Chinese buying an African energy deposit, or Chinese payments for Russian oil). Much USTBond sale volume will come from conversion to Gold bullion. These players will be building the BRICS Bank, or replenishing sickly Western banks, maybe even central banks.

4) Central Bank Franchise System is failing in recognized full view. After four and a half years of utter nonsense from the major central banks, dispensation of more toxic bond patch solutions, redemption of toxic bonds with freshly printed money, payoffs to big banks revealed (often gone to executive bonuses), support of USGovt deficits, refusals to inspect official Allocated Gold accounts, assists in derivative coverups, gigantic interest free loans to Fed partners in the multiple $trillions, the game is over, the jig is up, the public aware. Too many events have resulted in a pulling back of the curtain to reveal the criminality of the central bank franchise system. Hidden from view is the narcotics money laundering and their participation. Hidden from view is the phony project in the late 1990 decade to accumulate gold for a new USDollar, which made a U-turn at the last minute. Finally the Flash Trading practice reveals the sustained USTBond by a new more dangerous artificial prop, which had been a tool devoted mainly for the US Stock market, as in the New York Stock Exchange.

5) The death of the COMEX gold market is within view. With thefts of private accounts (see MF-Global), with refusals to deliver in gold COMEX futures contracts (see June and July and August), with drained COMEX inventories (see the massive decline since January), with drained JPMorguen inventories (see the massive decline since January), with the regular price ambushes led by naked shorting (see mid-April ambush, and subsequent ambushes), the death of the COMEX is within view. They will someday in the near future halt the gold futures contracts, since they will have no gold inventory, and since they have refused to deliver on gold futures contracts routinely. In fact, the refusal to redeem gold accounts at the GLD Exchange Traded Fund, even to qualified investors, might be the smoking gun, or (to mix metaphors) be the thread which when pulled, unravels the entire sweater.

6) Gold Trade Settlement is the coming, a return of the Gold Standard. It has been inevitable, its return, since it is the only solution with any merit or legitimacy. No phony paper debt bond solution has stuck since 2008, since all are illicit and meaningless circle jerks in a debt patchwork. The old sound money adage is so true (from Von Mises school), that no paper money solution can fix a failing paper money problem. However, the new trade settlement system will usher in a new Gold Trade Standard in a different route. It will enter on trade settlement from peer to peer, using Gold Trade Notes as letters of credit, using a vast distributed system. It will bypass the big bank SWIFT system which has been abused by the United States Govt and UKGovt. They have used the SWIFT codes as weapons. The East resents it, not just Iran. It will bypass the FOREX system of currency exchange, a regularly corrupted pit mangled by the Western bankers (see the Exchange Stabilization Fund managed by the USDept Treasury). The Europeans are in the middle, not such hardened adversaries to Iran, since Iran is willing to sell oil & gas in Euro transactions.

Sunshine Mint Rounds(1)

The major currencies will be forced to scurry like cockroaches in the dark to find and source gold bars for renovation of the currencies themselves. The crumbling sovereign debt serves as flawed foundation for the major currencies. The climax blow will be the conversion of USTBonds and EuroBonds and UKGilts and JapGovtBonds into Gold bullion that kills the current system and opens the door to the new system. With great disruption, the new Paradigm Shift is in progress, unstoppable, but offering hope for a better day, a better system, a more fair system, with participants and savers given a just system. For three decades, Gold has had a nemesis in the USTreasury Bond. The USTBond is dying, a wreck in progress. As the old pillars fall and the new pillars rise, The Price of Gold will be set free. It will reach $3000/oz when the COMEX defaults from empty inventory and Shanghai arbitrage, then reach $5000/oz when the great conversion begins in earnest from USTBonds to Gold bullion, then reach $7000/oz when the Gold Trade Settlement is installed in its full glory. It is written. It shall be done.

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Jim Willie CB, editor of the “HAT TRICK LETTER”
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